Google Custom Search
 
 
Title : The Nature of Trends in the Per Capita Real GDP of GCC Countries: Some Evidence and Implications

Authors: Ismail H. Genc (American University of Sharjah)
Musa Darayseh (Purdue University)
Bassam Abu Al-Foul (American University of Sharjah)

Abstract : In this paper we would like to determine whether the per capita real incomes of GCC countries are trend or difference stationary. The distinction is crucial for at least three reasons: one pertains to forecasting; while a trend stationary series tends to return to its long impact of such a shock forever. The second point is about econometric implications of the distinction as even minor divergences from difference stationarity would lead to non-robust cointegration estimations. The third point is about economics theory and policy; the distinction between the neoclassical and endogenous growth models can be setteled via empirical determination of the data to be difference or trend stationary. As the GCC countries strive to have more economic integration, correct identification of the issue becomes vital in policy making. After conducting a set of tests, we find that there is overwhelming evidence that the per capita real GDP of GCC countries is difference stationary.

 

Back to Schedule

 
P.O. Box 26666 Sharjah, UAE, Phone: +(971) 6 515 5555, Office of Enrollment Management: Phone: +(971) 6 515 1000
[ About Us | Accreditation |Admissions | Academic Programs | Employment | E-mail Directory ]
[ Home | General Contacts | Site Map | Search | Library | Banner ]

© Copyright 1999-2008 American University of Sharjah